|
Author |
Peylin P, Law R M, Gurney K R, Chevallier F, Jacobson A R, Maki T, Niwa Y, Patra P K, Peters W, Rayner P J, Rödenbeck C, Zhang X, |
|
| |
Abstract |
Atmospheric CO2 inversions estimate surface carbon fluxes from an optimal fit to atmospheric CO2 measurements, usually including prior constraints on the flux estimates. Eleven sets of carbon flux estimates are compared, generated by different inversions systems that vary in their inversions methods, choice of atmospheric data, transport model and prior information. The inversions were run for at least 5 yr in the period between 1990 and 2009. Mean fluxes for 2001–2004, seasonal cycles, interannual variability and trends are compared for the tropics and northern and southern extra-tropics, and separately for land and ocean. Some continental/basin-scale subdivisions are also considered where the atmospheric network is denser. Four-year mean fluxes are reasonably consistent across inversions at global/latitudinal scale, with a large total (land plus ocean) carbon uptake in the north (−3.3 Pg Cy−1 (±0.6 standard deviation)) nearly equally spread between land and ocean, a significant although more variable source over the tropics (1.6 ± 1.0 Pg Cy−1) and a compensatory sink of similar magnitude in the south (−1.4 ± 0.6 Pg Cy−1) corresponding mainly to an ocean sink. Largest differences across inversions occur in the balance between tropical land sources and southern land sinks. Interannual variability (IAV) in carbon fluxes is larger for land than ocean regions (standard deviation around 1.05 versus 0.34 Pg Cy−1 for the 1996–2007 period), with much higher consistency amoung the inversions for the land. While the tropical land explains most of the IAV (stdev ∼ 0.69 Pg Cy−1), the northern and southern land also contribute (stdev ∼ 0.39 Pg Cy−1). Most inversions tend to indicate an increase of the northern land carbon uptake through the 2000s (around 0.11 Pg Cy−1), shared by North America and North Asia. The mean seasonal cycle appears to be well constrained by the atmospheric data over the northern land (at the continental scale), but still highly dependent on the prior flux seasonality over the ocean. Finally we provide recommendations to interpret the regional fluxes, along with the uncertainty estimates. |
|
