TY - STD AU - Niels M. Schmidt, Rolf A. Ims PY - 2012// TI - Response of an arctic predator guild to collapsing lemming cycles KW - Alpine and arctic lemming populations appear to be highly sensitive to climate change KW - and when faced with warmer and shorter winters KW - their well-known high-amplitude population cycles may collapse. Being keystone species in tundra ecosystems KW - changed lemming dynamics may convey significant knock-on effects on trophically linked species. Here KW - we analyse long-term (1988–2010) KW - community-wide monitoring data from two sites in high-arctic Greenland and document how a collapse in collared lemming cyclicity affects the population dynamics of the predator guild. Dramatic changes were observed in two highly specialized lemming predators: snowy owl and stoat. Following the lemming cycle collapse KW - snowy owl fledgling production declined by 98 per cent KW - and there was indication of a severe population decline of stoats at one site. The less specialized long-tailed skua and the generalist arctic fox were more loosely coupled to the lemming dynamics. Still KW - the lemming collapse had noticeable effects on their reproductive performance. Predator responses differed somewhat between sites in all species and could arise from site-specific differences in lemming dynamics KW - intra-guild interactions or subsidies from other resources. Nevertheless KW - population extinctions and community restructuring of this arctic endemic predator guild are likely if the lemming dynamics are maintained at the current non-cyclic KW - low-density state. SN - 0962-8452, 1471-2954 L1 - http://publi.ipev.fr/polar_references/files/yes UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.1490 N1 - exported from refbase (http://publi.ipev.fr/polar_references/show.php?record=6948), last updated on Tue, 30 Nov 1999 00:00:00 +0100 ID - NielsM.Schmidt2012 ER -