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Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2017 |
Publication |
Global and Planetary Change |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
148 |
Issue |
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Pages |
9-21 |
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Keywords |
Climate variability Historical reconstruction Multiple linear regression Statistical modelling Storm surge |
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688 |
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ISSN |
0921-8181 |
ISBN |
0921-8181 |
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yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
7477 |
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Author |
Eric Bernard, Jean Michel Friedt, Sophie Schiavone, Florian Tolle, Madeleine Griselin |
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Title |
Assessment of periglacial response to increased runoff: An Arctic hydrosystem bears witness |
Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Land Degradation & Development |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
29 |
Issue |
10 |
Pages |
3709-3720 |
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Keywords |
climate shift geomorphology moraine periglacial processes photogrammetry |
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Abstract |
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Programme |
1108 |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1099-145X |
ISBN |
1099-145X |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
7248 |
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Title |
Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective |
Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Earth's Future |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
7 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
320-337 |
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Keywords |
climate service coastal adaptation robust decision making sea-level rise information |
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Abstract |
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Programme |
688 |
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ISSN |
2328-4277 |
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yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
8614 |
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Author |
Stephanie Jenouvrier, Judy Che-Castaldo, Shaye Wolf, Marika Holland, Sara Labrousse, Michelle LaRue, Barbara Wienecke, Peter Fretwell, Christophe Barbraud, Noah Greenwald, Julienne Stroeve, Philip N. Trathan |
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Title |
The call of the emperor penguin: Legal responses to species threatened by climate change |
Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2021 |
Publication |
Global Change Biology |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
27 |
Issue |
20 |
Pages |
5008-5029 |
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Keywords |
climate risk assessments Endangered Species Act foreseeable future population projections redundancy and representation (3Rs) resiliency sea ice projections species distribution treatment of scientific uncertainty |
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Abstract |
Species extinction risk is accelerating due to anthropogenic climate change, making it urgent to protect vulnerable species through legal frameworks in order to facilitate conservation actions that help mitigate risk. Here, we discuss fundamental concepts for assessing climate change risks to species using the example of the emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri), currently being considered for protection under the US Endangered Species Act (ESA). This species forms colonies on Antarctic sea ice, which is projected to significantly decline due to ongoing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We project the dynamics of all known emperor penguin colonies under different GHG emission scenarios using a climate-dependent meta-population model including the effects of extreme climate events based on the observational satellite record of colonies. Assessments for listing species under the ESA require information about how species resiliency, redundancy and representation (3Rs) will be affected by threats within the foreseeable future. Our results show that if sea ice declines at the rate projected by climate models under current energy system trends and policies, the 3Rs would be dramatically reduced and almost all colonies would become quasi-extinct by 2100. We conclude that the species should be listed as threatened under the ESA. |
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Programme |
109 |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1365-2486 |
ISBN |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
8308 |
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Author |
Katrine Husum, John A. Howe, Agnes Baltzer, Matthias Forwick, Maria Jensen, Patrycja Jernas, Sergei Korsun, Arto Miettinen, Rahul Mohan, Caterina Morigi, Per Inge Myhre, Maarten A. Prins, Kari Skirbekk, Beata Sternal, Michel Boos, Noortje Dijkstra, Simon Troelstra |
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Title |
The marine sedimentary environments of Kongsfjorden, Svalbard: an archive of polar environmental change |
Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Polar Research |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
climate deglaciation environment fjord geology sediments |
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Abstract |
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Programme |
1223 |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1751-8369 |
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Notes |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
7618 |
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Author |
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Title |
Molar shape differentiation during range expansions of the collared lemming (Dicrostonyx torquatus) related to past climate changes |
Type |
Journal |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Quaternary Science Reviews |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
221 |
Issue |
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Pages |
105886 |
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Keywords |
Climate Collared lemmings Geometric morphometrics Range expansion |
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Abstract |
The genus Dicrostonyx (the collared lemming) is undoubtedly the small mammal best adapted to the extreme conditions of the arctic environment. The Palearctic collared lemming has been described in numerous European Late Pleistocene localities up to south of France and Croatia. This species experienced climate-driven changes through time, changes mainly observed as repetitive pulses of pan-continental migration, and it thus became a typical indicator of glacial conditions. Using geometric morphometrics on molars, we evaluate the shape changes occurring during the last 100 ky over some dispersal events in Western Europe. The results point out that Dicrostonyx torquatus has a large intra-population variation with a homogenous morphology, regardless of the origin of the individuals. A temporal trend leading to a more complex tooth with a differentiated anterior loop on the first lower molar was observed. An additional effect of the distance from the core populations was also described with a more peculiar shape for the most western populations of France. These temporal and geographical trends might relate to the different migratory pulses documented from ancient DNA haplotypes. |
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Programme |
1036 |
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Campaign |
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Address |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
Bachelor's thesis |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0277-3791 |
ISBN |
0277-3791 |
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Area |
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Conference |
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Notes |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
7614 |
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Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
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Title |
Climate change and phenological responses of two seabird species breeding in the high-Arctic
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Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2009 |
Publication |
Marine Ecology Progress Series |
Abbreviated Journal |
Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. |
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Volume |
393 |
Issue |
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Pages |
235 -246 |
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Keywords |
climate change, match mismatch, permitted without written consent, phenology, publisher, resale republication not, sea ice, seabirds, svalbard, temperature, timing breeding, |
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Abstract |
The timing of breeding is a life-history trait that can greatly affect fitness, because successful reproduction depends on the match between the food requirements for raising young and the seasonal peak in food availability. We an analysed phenology (hatch dates) in relation to climate change for 2 seabird species breeding in the high-Arctic, little auks Alle alle and black-legged kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla, for the periods 1963-2008 and 1970-2008, respectively. We show that spring climate has changed during the study period, with a strong increase in both air temperature (TEMP) and sea surface temperature (SST) and a decrease in sea ice concentration. Little auks showed a trend for earlier breeding over the study period, while kittimakes showed a non-significant trend for later breeding, demonstrating different phenological responses in these 2 species. Little auks and kittiwakes adjusted their timing of breeding to different environmental signals. Spring TEMP was the best predictor of little auk phenology, with a significant negative effect. Spring SST was the strongest predictor of kittiwake phenology, with a non-significant negative effect. Spring sea ice concentration and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) winter index had a low relative variable importance. Furthermore, in kittiwakes, years with late breeding were associated with low clutch size and mean annual breeding success, indicating poor investment and food availability. This study identifies some spring environmental factors important for regulating the timing of breeding in the high-Arctic, most likely through effects on snow cover limiting access to nest sites and the development of the polar marine food web. It remains to be investigated whether environmental factors are reliable predictors of marine prey phenology, and whether the decision to start breeding is constrained by food availability.
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Programme |
330 |
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Publisher |
INTER-RESEARCH |
Place of Publication |
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Language |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0171-8630 |
ISBN |
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Notes |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
1770 |
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Author |
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Title |
Energetic constraints may limit the capacity of visually guided predators to respond to Arctic warming
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Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
JOURNAL OF ZOOLOGY |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Zool. (Lond.) |
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Volume |
289 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
119-126 |
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Keywords |
climate change, Diving, great Cormorant, illumination, Phalacrocorax carbo, temperature, |
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Abstract |
For many polar species, climate change is likely to result in range contractions and negative population trends. For those species whose distribution is limited by sea ice and cold water, however, polar warming could result in population increases and range expansion. Population increases of great cormorants Phalacrocorax carbo in Greenland are associated with warmer sea surface temperatures, but the actual impact of environmental change on cormorant spatial ecology remains unclear. In the present study, we investigate how Arctic warming is likely to influence the distribution of cormorants in Greenland. Using geolocation data, we show that many individuals that breed above the Arctic Circle migrate south and winter at lower latitude. We then couple estimates of migratory flight costs with a model that predicts daily energy expenditure during winter on the basis of water temperature, ambient illumination during diving, dive depth and day length. This model shows that the most energy efficient strategy predicted for any breeding location is to migrate as far south as possible, and that, for a given wintering location, it is more energetically expensive to breed at high latitude. We argue that cormorants currently undertake a winter migration to escape the polar night and reduce winter energy costs and that their wintering grounds in Greenland will remain largely unchanged under Arctic warming. This is because low levels of ambient illumination during the polar night will continue to restrict foraging opportunities at high latitude during winter. Northward expansion of the breeding range will result in increased energy expenditure associated with long migratory flights, and the cost of such flights may ultimately limit the breeding range of cormorants. Such limitations are likely to represent a general constraint on the capacity of visually guided predators to respond to climate warming, and may limit the predicted poleward range shifts of these species. |
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Programme |
388 |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1469-7998 |
ISBN |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
4367 |
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Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
Barbraud Christophe, Rivalan Philippe, Inchausti Pablo, Nevoux Marie, Rolland Virginie, Weimerskirch Henri, |
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Title |
Contrasted demographic responses facing future climate change in Southern Ocean seabirds
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Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Journal of Animal Ecology |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
80 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
89-100 |
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Keywords |
climate change, demography, IPCC emission scenarios, multi-state capturerecapture, population dynamics, sea ice concentration, sea surface temperature, seabirds, Southern Indian Ocean, stochastic matrix population models, |
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Abstract |
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Programme |
109 |
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Publisher |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1365-2656 |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
3253 |
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Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
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Title |
Thermal acclimation capacity for four Arctic marine benthic species
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Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
424425 |
Issue |
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Pages |
38-43 |
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Keywords |
Climate change, CTmax, Limit, Polar, Temperature, Warming, |
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Abstract |
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Programme |
1090 |
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Campaign |
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Address |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
Bachelor's thesis |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0022-0981 |
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Approved |
yes |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
2903 |
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Permanent link to this record |